30/09/2022 Geopolitics Upheaval in the global FX regime The energy and inflation crises have uncovered cracks in the long-standing global foreign exchange regime. A new approach to currency management is required...
26/08/2022 Economy & Markets Only a new policy regime can stop rampant inflation, but don... The only way to tackle the new inflationary regime is a credible and abrupt change in the approach to policy: but this seems unlikely to happen.
25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards a new set of fiscal rules in Europe: an investor vie... In the current high-inflation regime, the use of fiscal space must: (1) be rule-based; and (2) preserve the possibility of a cooperative game between...
25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards new fiscal rules in Europe After years of dormant peripheral risk, the recent resurgence of fragmentation issues in Europe, amid rising stagflationary risks at a time of Central...
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #20 - Stagflation and its roots in capit... Understanding how the misallocation of capital in the last macro-financial regime laid the foundations for the prospect of stagflation today.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #18 - The power of narratives for invest... Our analysis suggests that narratives complement traditional macro variables when it comes to explaining financial market behaviour.
9/05/2022 Investment Insights Shifts & Narratives #17 - Keeping up with climate change in ... Dealing with the changes driven by the energy transition requires a complete rethinking of asset class returns forecasting and brings major implications...
6/04/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #16 - Investing in a fragmented world In this piece we address the impact of de-globalization on investors, and in particular the road back to the benefits of international diversification.
2/03/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #14 - Russia conflict marks a further st... Understanding the long-term implications of the Russian-Ukraine conflict in the regime shift in course.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation:... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
24/11/2021 Research Shifts & Narratives #12 - ESG is not a given, the battle for... ESG (environmental, social, and governance) investing has been making news headlines recently.
15/10/2021 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #10 - China is finally emerging from the... Explore the shifting narratives surrounding China's emergence from the U.S. shadow, analyzing key factors influencing China's global presence and the...
1/10/2021 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #9 - Adapting equity portfolios to a re... The return of inflation is clearly one of the top themes of 2021 and the post-pandemic economic revival.
16/09/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime ... Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year...