This paper compares the current AI-driven market to the dot-com boom of the late 1990s.

What the energy shock means for European equity sectors, Asian economies and what has been driving gold movements.

This article assesses how the energy shock may reshape European sectors, from energy and utilities to transport, banks and chemicals, under a prolonged...

We investigate the main drivers of the recent gold movements and reassess the outlook for the precious metal.

This analysis of Asia and the energy shock shows how spikes in oil and gas prices are affecting inflation, fiscal balances, and vulnerable sectors across...

An uncertain and volatile environment around US-Iran negotiations is affecting oil prices. Any sign of subsiding war risks would obviously be positive...

The Iran crisis has triggered a repricing in equities, with most regions coming under stress - US more so than others, year to date.

The Eurozone March PMI survey fell during the previous month, indicating businesses are getting worried about the middle east conflict.

This edition of the GIV elaborates on our macro convictions around inflation, the war in the middle-east and our asset allocation views.

Autoregressive LLMs generate text by sampling from estimated probability distributions over the next token, conditiona lon preceding context.

Forecasting the option implied volatility (IV) surface is difficult with standard time series models because ofits time-varying granularity.

Momentum trading strategies exploitre turn persistence, but conventional past-year cumulative-return measures generate a noisy signal that attenuates...

The war in Iran has shaken markets and is threatening the stability of the global economy.

The major DM central banks – Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ - have left rates unchanged, in line with our expectations.

Financial markets respond not only to quantitative fundamentals but also to narratives that shape investor perceptions of risk, particularly during periods...