6/06/2024 Economy & Markets Biden vs Trump: high stakes in US elections This paper examines the potential economic and foreign policy changes at stake in the 2024 US elections.
15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Dovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth... Markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting, but investors should be cautious as risks to weaker US growth persist.
8/08/2023 Economy & Markets US credit rating downgrade: investment implications The Talks outlines the investment and geopolitical implications of Fitch's downgrade of its credit rating for the United States.
28/07/2023 Economy & Markets Fed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
9/05/2023 Economy & Markets Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves t... The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Trump indictment: implications for US politics and assets To understand the impact of the recent Trump indictment on US politics and beyond.
23/03/2023 Economy & Markets Fed delivers a dovish hike: a rate cycle peak may be close Inflation remains the Fed's main concern. We remain cautious and anticipate market volatility, given the central bank continues to be data dependent.
7/02/2023 Economy & Markets Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC revi... Review of the February FOMC meeting and its market implications.
16/12/2022 Economy & Markets Fed: Staying the course until the job is done Understanding the outcome of the December FOMC meeting and its market implications.
10/11/2022 Economy & Markets US mid-term election: no red tide Understanding the outcome of the 2022 US mid-term election and its policy, economic, and financial fallout
4/11/2022 Economy & Markets 1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot Understanding the outcome of the November FOMC meeting and its market implications
23/09/2022 Economy & Markets 20-21 September FOMC meeting: the move into restrictive terr... Understanding the outcome of the July FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
29/07/2022 Economy & Markets July 26-27 FOMC Review: Maintaining a Hawkish Course Understanding the outcome of the July FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
17/06/2022 Economy & Markets 14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflatio... Understanding the outcome of the June FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
9/05/2022 Economy & Markets 3-4 May FOMC meeting: 50bp interest rate hike is bullish for... Understanding the outcome of the May FOMC meeting and its market and implications