31/03/2025 Economy & Markets The direction of long term rates in an era of high debt High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.
12/03/2025 Podcasts Outerblue Talks Research - US fixed income - Early pain, lat... The podcast discusses the impact of recent US economic policies on the bond market, highlighting current challenges and potential future gains for investors.
11/03/2025 Economy & Markets Tariffs and European news fuel volatility In this Investment Talks, we explore recent moves in financial markets and possible explanations, alongside our expectations and investment implications.
6/02/2025 Scenarios, risks and macroeconomic forecasts This article analyzes macroeconomic forecasts and risks affecting global markets, offering insights into potential scenarios and investment strategies...
6/02/2025 Economy & Markets What Trump 2.0 means for the economy and markets The article analyzes the effects of Trump's second term on the global economy and markets, focusing on tariffs, inflation, and trade relations, particularly...
20/01/2025 Economy & Markets The Fed’s dilemma This analysis reviews the January 2025 macroeconomic outlook, focusing on the Fed's inflation challenges and interest rate expectations.
18/12/2024 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2024 The article reviews the ECB's rate cuts as inflation drops to 2.2%, forecasting a terminal rate of 1.75% by 2025.
20/11/2024 Capital Market Assumptions Capital Market Assumptions 2024 Discover the Q3 update: Equity returns face dampened expectations and declining valuations, while bonds see volatility and lower government yields.
19/11/2024 Economy & Markets The extraordinary US cycle is becoming more balanced The US economy is transitioning to slower growth, with a soft landing expected amid reduced imbalances and declining inflation.
7/11/2024 Economy & Markets Trump Victory: Key implications for investors Trump will return to the White House, with a red sweep of the Senate and House likely. Financial markets reacted by extending popular "Trump trades".
10/10/2024 Economy & Markets Draghi’s report: a call to action for Europe’s competitivene... Mario Draghi’s report on Europe’s declining competitiveness poses a significant challenge for policymakers. While it has broad support, implementation...
16/09/2024 Economy & Markets The JPY carry trade: what’s next? Unwinding of the Yen carry trade accelerates amid BoJ's hawkish surprise. What lies ahead for JPY? Learn about potential market impacts and key economic...
13/09/2024 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - September 2024 Detailed macroeconomic analysis of the evolution of the US, Chinese and Indian economies, with forecasts for interest rates, inflation and growth.
12/09/2024 Geopolitics US election debate generates more political than policy buzz The first, and potentially only, election debate between the two U.S. presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, was light on policy details...
6/08/2024 Geopolitics US economy worries pummel markets Global stock markets have reversed, with Japan's benchmark Topix index on Aug. 5 suffering its biggest one-day drop in more than three decades.