19/05/2025 Economy & Markets China in the race for technological leadership In this paper we explore the evolution of China's technological progress and its likely path ahead.
12/05/2025 Economy & Markets What to expect for the US Treasury market? Discover the geopolitical factors influencing the US-China trade war, the complexities of decoupling, and our insights on the US Treasury market in our...
9/05/2025 Economy & Markets US and China: balancing the decoupling Discover how Beijing's trade war strategy has shifted from restraint to decisive retaliation. Eroding trust from U.S. 'strategic decoupling' leads to...
14/04/2025 Economy & Markets The uncertain reality of tariffs and the future of gold Trump's tariffs seek to address trade imbalances and revitalize manufacturing, but their impact is uncertain. Gold stands out as a stable investment amid...
14/04/2025 Economy & Markets Emerging Markets beyond the 90-day tariff pause Despite a 90-day tariff pause, the US-China trade war escalates, hitting Asia hardest. Latin America is less affected. Inflation outlooks are uncertain,...
11/04/2025 Economy & Markets Navigating trade war turbulence Trade wars are disrupting the global economy, potentially causing profit recessions from rising costs and lower demand. Investors should focus on European...
3/04/2025 Economy & Markets Liberation Day tariffs: an initial assessment In this Investment Talks we explore the main take-aways for investors from the April 2nd tariff announcement by Trump.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets The direction of long term rates in an era of high debt High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets Empowering transformation in Europe Europe aims to boost productivity through policy reforms and investments to restore competitiveness.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets Demographics will shape future growth potential Shifts like lower fertility and immigration rates will challenge potential growth and tilt population dynamics towards Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.
17/03/2025 Economy & Markets The diverse economic impacts of artificial intelligence In this paper we extend our 2024 analysis by focusing on differentiating macroeconomic productivity gains enabled by AI across countries.
14/03/2025 Economy & Markets A step forward for Europe "A Step Forward for Europe" analyzes Germany's role in boosting Eurozone growth amid challenges like US tariffs and rising defense spending.
11/03/2025 Economy & Markets Tariffs and European news fuel volatility In this Investment Talks, we explore recent moves in financial markets and possible explanations, alongside our expectations and investment implications.
7/03/2025 Economy & Markets Locked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s N... After months of anticipation, Beijing has revealed how it plans to keep the Chinese economy steady – growing at around 5% – in a challenging and uncertain...
24/02/2025 Economy & Markets Forming coalition will be easiest of next German Chancellor’... Germany's CDU/CSU have won the elections and will now form a coalition government. Challenges include how to kickstart growth and adapt fiscal policy.
