10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023 Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support f... Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.
8/08/2023 Economy & Markets US credit rating downgrade: investment implications The Talks outlines the investment and geopolitical implications of Fitch's downgrade of its credit rating for the United States.
24/07/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2023 UK monetary policy to avert risk of a wage-price spiral
22/06/2023 Global Outlook Mid-year outlook 2023: global themes Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and...
26/05/2023 Economy & Markets Seven questions for investors on the US debt ceiling The Talks elaborates on the uncertainty around the US Debt Ceiling negotations and how it could evolve.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
6/03/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2023 Market measures of financial conditions suggest significant easing over the last three months, but borrowing costs for corporates and households have...
20/02/2023 Geopolitics A year of war in Ukraine: accelerating the energy transition... The war in Ukraine has had a marked impact on the global economy, redrawing national and international priorities. Investors need agility to cope with...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
3/02/2023 Economy & Markets ECB-inspired rally risks going too far Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
