10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
17/03/2023 Economy & Markets ECB increases rates: the job on inflation is not done yet, b... Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
6/03/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2023 Market measures of financial conditions suggest significant easing over the last three months, but borrowing costs for corporates and households have...
3/02/2023 Economy & Markets ECB-inspired rally risks going too far Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
26/01/2023 Economy & Markets Bonds are back: credit markets in focus during 2023 Understanding the outlook for credit markets in 2023
19/12/2022 Economy & Markets Hawkish surprise from the ECB Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
28/10/2022 Economy & Markets A dovish pivot from the ECB: Euro bonds back in focus The ECB has turned more dovish suggesting a less aggressive rate hike path ahead.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
13/09/2022 Economy & Markets ECB meeting: bold rate hike; watch out for more to come Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their...
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a rec... The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets Keeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022 2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase...
5/01/2022 Economy & Markets Central banks: a successful hawkish turn The three major central banks issued restrictive signals last week. The banks have succeeded in changing the course of their monetary policies without...