22/06/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year outlook 2023 The June Cross Asset issue is a special mid-year outlook edition, featuring our key views as we enter the second half of the year.
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
26/05/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - June 2023 Bonds (and cash) are back on the radar screen. Read more of our monthly investment views.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
9/05/2023 Economy & Markets Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves towards a pause The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector The Talks elaborates on why the recent crisis in the banking sector is not a systemic one, and that there are select opportunities among banks.
23/03/2023 Economy & Markets Fed delivers a dovish hike: a rate cycle peak may be close Inflation remains the Fed's main concern. We remain cautious and anticipate market volatility, given the central bank continues to be data dependent.
14/03/2023 Economy & Markets No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas of vulnerability Assessment of the SVB failure and its effects on the banking sector, the financial system and possible impact on central banks policy.
24/02/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - March 2023 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/02/2023 Economy & Markets Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review Review of the February FOMC meeting and its market implications.