12/10/2022 Economy & Markets TLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets United States: a green industrial policy in the making The US Congress’s August approval of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) came as a surprise to most observers.
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - September 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - September 2022 We have reviewed the content and probabilities of our scenarios. First of all, we have included in our central scenario some of the risks that are materialising...
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Rational inattention at the core of central bank strategy The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - July/August 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - July/August 2022 We keep the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios unchanged vs. last month. The new wave of Covid-19 and stagnation in the Eurozone are...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Only innovation in fiscal and monetary rules will make the E... As crises unfold, structural and governance issues tend to become more and more important.
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - June 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - June 2022 We keep the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month but amend the narrative to take into account the evolving...
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - May 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their...
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets French presidential election: Macron’s victory provides cont... The incumbent president’s re-election avoids an unpredictable political phase for France.
5/05/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - May 2022 We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month.
