29/07/2022 Economy & Markets Gas rationing impact on European economy The partial shutoff of gas deliveries is already affecting European growth momentum. Discover what could be the economic impact of a total cutoff and...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
17/06/2022 Economy & Markets 14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflatio... Understanding the outcome of the June FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
16/06/2022 Economy & Markets A (stag?)flationary tantrum: assessing the current market se... We are entering a tough phase of the regime shift, as the risks over economic growth add to the already hot inflationary backdrop. This means that stagflation...
10/06/2022 Equity Navigating an inflationary environment in US and global equi... Understanding the outcome of the May FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets The embarrassing legacy of financial capitalism: implication... Understanding how the legacies of the 'old economy' paved the way for a new macro-financial regime today, and implications for investors.
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #20 - Stagflation and its roots in capit... Understanding how the misallocation of capital in the last macro-financial regime laid the foundations for the prospect of stagflation today.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets The myth of the fiscal free lunch: beware of the trap. An in... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #18 - The power of narratives for invest... Our analysis suggests that narratives complement traditional macro variables when it comes to explaining financial market behaviour.
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their...
5/05/2022 Economy & Markets Q2 2022: A late cycle with a greater focus on inflation The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still...
5/05/2022 Portfolio Strategy Setting your investment objectives: institutional asset allo... Understanding the factors that contribute to setting investment objectives in the Investment Policy Statement.
27/04/2022 Economy & Markets Adding to the debate: “Is the Fed behind the curve"? Interpretation on the view that the Fed is "behind the curve" from Fed official and investment implications associated with the statement.