2/12/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - December 2022 We maintain the probabilities of our scenarios unchanged. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not...
2/12/2022 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2022 Find the latest edition of our Research team's monthly publication.
2/12/2022 Geopolitics Recent developments do not change our expectations for the R... The war in Ukraine will continue to dictate Europe’s prospects in 2023.
2/12/2022 Emerging Markets Lula is back and already scoring goals Lula netted a goal in Egypt at COP27 in the fight against climate change.
2/12/2022 Fixed Income & FX European fixed income: the difficult equation if the energy ... Beyond the impact of domestic economic variables, euro rates are determined by the energy crisis and political monetary choices.
2/12/2022 Emerging Markets China housing policy: better late than never The latest support measures the Chinese government announced on housing have sought to re-establish lifelines for struggling developers, clarifying that...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - November 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - November 2022 We maintain the probabilities of our scenarios unchanged. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets False sense of security from easing energy prices Natural gas prices have plunged since their summer peak, supported by ample stocks and by the EU emergency measures.
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
7/11/2022 Emerging Markets Where is China heading to? China’s cyclical recovery outlook hinges critically on developments in Covid-19 policy. Housing will become less of a drag as the sector manages an L-shaped...
4/11/2022 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2022 Find the latest edition of our Research team's monthly publication.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - October 2022 Macroeconomic Picture by area and Macro and Market forecast.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - October 2022 We maintain the content and probabilities of our scenarios. Note that some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is...
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.