10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
10/05/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2023 Cyclical risks persist, as the odds of a US recession are on the rise, but they are not completely priced in by markets.
9/05/2023 Economy & Markets Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves t... The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector The Talks elaborates on why the recent crisis in the banking sector is not a systemic one, and that there are select opportunities among banks.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
3/04/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2023 Is a US recession now on the cards? Discover our latest investment and thought leadership ideas.
21/03/2023 Economy & Markets A global assessment of the implications of recent banking se... Assessment of the recent developments related to the banks turmoil and their impact on the economic outlook, central banks, credit, equity banking sectors,...
16/03/2023 Economy & Markets European banking sector set to withstand Credit Suisse fragi... Assessment of the recent developments regarding Credit Suisse with views on the European banking sector.
14/03/2023 Economy & Markets No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas o... Assessment of the SVB failure and its effects on the banking sector, the financial system and possible impact on central banks policy.
6/03/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2023 Market measures of financial conditions suggest significant easing over the last three months, but borrowing costs for corporates and households have...
6/03/2023 Equity European equities are favoured in a fragile earnings outlook Q4 2022 was the first quarter of YoY profit declines for the United States, while Europe has held up better. In the United States, Big Tech-related sectors...