High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.

In this Investment Talks, we explore recent moves in financial markets and possible explanations, alongside our expectations and investment implications.

The article analyzes the effects of Trump's second term on the global economy and markets, focusing on tariffs, inflation, and trade relations, particularly...

This analysis reviews the January 2025 macroeconomic outlook, focusing on the Fed's inflation challenges and interest rate expectations.

The article reviews the ECB's rate cuts as inflation drops to 2.2%, forecasting a terminal rate of 1.75% by 2025.

The US economy is transitioning to slower growth, with a soft landing expected amid reduced imbalances and declining inflation.

Trump will return to the White House, with a red sweep of the Senate and House likely. Financial markets reacted by extending popular "Trump trades".

Mario Draghi’s report on Europe’s declining competitiveness poses a significant challenge for policymakers. While it has broad support, implementation...

Unwinding of the Yen carry trade accelerates amid BoJ's hawkish surprise. What lies ahead for JPY? Learn about potential market impacts and key economic...

Detailed macroeconomic analysis of the evolution of the US, Chinese and Indian economies, with forecasts for interest rates, inflation and growth.

Understand how central banks' rate divergence affects exchange rates, with a focus on US long-term yields, energy price shocks, and inflation pass-through...

Britain’s Labour Party returned to power for the first time in 14 years after winning a large majority in parliamentary elections.

Analysing the causes and effects of the secular decline in productivity growth, and the impact of Artificial Intelligence.

This paper examines the potential economic and foreign policy changes at stake in the 2024 US elections.

Unlock critical investment insights with the May 2024 Cross Asset Strategy Report, covering US, China, and India's economic forecasts, inflation, and...