26/08/2022 Economy & Markets Only a new policy regime can stop rampant inflation, but don... The only way to tackle the new inflationary regime is a credible and abrupt change in the approach to policy: but this seems unlikely to happen.
16/08/2022 Economy & Markets Mind the lag: recession fears flare too fast Central banks will be aggressive in the short term as they try to re-establish credibility, with the European Central Bank a case in point.
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets The embarrassing legacy of financial capitalism: implication... Understanding how the legacies of the 'old economy' paved the way for a new macro-financial regime today, and implications for investors.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets The myth of the fiscal free lunch: beware of the trap. An in... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
27/04/2022 Economy & Markets Adding to the debate: “Is the Fed behind the curve"? Interpretation on the view that the Fed is "behind the curve" from Fed official and investment implications associated with the statement.
21/04/2022 Economy & Markets The energy crisis heightens inflation fears - Strategies to ... The presentation provides insights into how the current war/energy crisis is exacerbating the already high inflation. The material also details what strategies...
20/04/2022 Economy & Markets The inflation psychology is kicking in Understanding the dynamics of inflation and how the psychology of inflation can make it more permanent than expected
2/03/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #14 - Russia conflict marks a further st... Understanding the long-term implications of the Russian-Ukraine conflict in the regime shift in course.
9/02/2022 Economy & Markets Inflation is starting to burn - Strategies to protect portfo... Understanding our key convictions and portfolio implications on inflation trends ahead
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation:... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Money and its velocity matter: the great comeback of the qua... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
16/09/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime ... Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year...
28/06/2021 Global Outlook H2 2021 Investment Outlook - Inflation blows on markets, and... We are already reaching the peak of economic acceleration. What matters going forward is what will be left of this bounce in growth and inflation.
9/04/2021 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #1 - Do not give up on fundamental valua... Today, most investors are at a loss regarding what to think of the notion of value and valuations and, even most importantly, how to use it in portfolio...