26/08/2022 Economy & Markets Only a new policy regime can stop rampant inflation, but don... The only way to tackle the new inflationary regime is a credible and abrupt change in the approach to policy: but this seems unlikely to happen.
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #20 - Stagflation and its roots in capit... Understanding how the misallocation of capital in the last macro-financial regime laid the foundations for the prospect of stagflation today.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #18 - The power of narratives for invest... Narratives have been around for a long time but their impact on financial markets has not been fully exploited. Our analysis suggests that narratives...
6/04/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #16 - Investing in a fragmented world One key aspect of the regime shift is the fall of globalization trend. In the piece we address the impact of de-globalization on investors, and in particular...
2/03/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #14 - Russia conflict marks a further st... Understanding the long-term implications of the Russian-Ukraine conflict in the regime shift in course.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation:... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
1/10/2021 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #9 - Adapting equity portfolios to a re... The return of inflation is clearly one of the top themes of 2021 and the post-pandemic economic revival.
16/09/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime ... Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year...
9/04/2021 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #1 - Do not give up on fundamental valua... Today, most investors are at a loss regarding what to think of the notion of value and valuations and, even most importantly, how to use it in portfolio...