Must read articles

ECB
RC - 2022.06 thematic global views
Monthly Cross Asset 3.06.2022 Only innovation in fiscal and monetary rules will make the Eurozone viable

As crises unfold, structural and governance issues tend to become more and more important.

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Monthly Cross Asset 6.05.2022 Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver

We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their credibility.

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RC - 2022.04 - ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone...
Investment Talks 15.04.2022 ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone, despite inflation remaining top priority

We expect QE to end in Q3, as announced, followed by rate normalisation, which is likely to lift rates out of negative territory over the next few months, with two hikes before year-end, followed by another in Q1 2023

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ECB QE Monitor 14.04.2022 ECB QE Monitor - April 2022

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015

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ECB QE Monitor 17.03.2022 ECB QE Monitor - March 2022

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015

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ECB QE Monitor 14.02.2022 ECB QE Monitor - February 2022

Our convictions: We will closely monitor the evolution of the global picture in the Eurozone. We will watch closely: (1) the risks of a second round effect in countries such as Germany and (2) the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on financing conditions.

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ECB QE Monitor 13.12.2021 ECB QE Monitor - December 2021

Our convictions: ECB will unveil more details regarding its political strategy for 2022 at the meeting on December 16. The new set of economic forecasts will be available. In 2022, we expect the ECB to maintain a noticeable pace of asset purchases relative to historical norms, calibrating the size of QE to absorb the bulk of net issuance as in the past two years.

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ECB QE Monitor 5.11.2021 ECB QE Monitor - November 2021

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015

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Research Center - 2022 EGB supply vs ECB QE
Monthly Cross Asset 2.11.2021 2022 EGB supply vs ECB QE

We expect a further slowing of growth in Eurozone public debt in 2022, mirroring the 2021 trend vs. 2020 which saw a peak in net issuance, while EU bond supply is likely to remain close to the 2021 level.

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