4/02/2022 Emerging Markets Inflation in Turkey could very well reach 50% and more in th... Because of unorthodox economic policies, Turkey will face a tough year ahead, with inflation peaking at a 20-year high… but we do see some lights at the...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets Keeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022 2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets The journey back to zero real rates Real interest rates in the US and Europe have reached negative levels that are unprecedented in recent history.
28/01/2022 Economy & Markets 25-26 January FOMC review : giving the all clear for March h... Overall, the statement was largely consistent with investor and market expectations.
27/01/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - February 2022 January has seen strong gyrations in markets, with nominal and real yields rising sharply, driving a strong shift from growth to value in equities.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation:... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Money and its velocity matter: the great comeback of the qua... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
5/01/2022 Economy & Markets Central banks: a successful hawkish turn The three major central banks issued restrictive signals last week. The banks have succeeded in changing the course of their monetary policies without...
14/10/2021 Emerging Markets Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Why EM could be back in fo... EM ready for a comeback, but volatility will remain high
16/09/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime ... Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year...
28/06/2021 Global Outlook H2 2021 Investment Outlook - Inflation blows on markets, and... We are already reaching the peak of economic acceleration. What matters going forward is what will be left of this bounce in growth and inflation.
9/04/2021 Portfolio Strategy Shifts & Narratives #1 - Do not give up on fundamental valua... Today, most investors are at a loss regarding what to think of the notion of value and valuations and, even most importantly, how to use it in portfolio...
2/04/2021 Fixed Income & FX Dollar: short-term bull, medium-term dull? As the global economy recovers from its worst economic slump since the 1930s, any investment decision will hinge critically on the evolution of the dollar....
8/03/2021 Portfolio Strategy Do not give up on fundamental valuations Something has to give in a regime shift. Be prepared, there will be opportunities for value investors.
22/02/2021 Asset Pricing & Behavioural Finance Tracking ECB’s Communication: Perspectives and Implications ... This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques.