25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards a new set of fiscal rules in Europe: an investor vie... In the current high-inflation regime, the use of fiscal space must: (1) be rule-based; and (2) preserve the possibility of a cooperative game between...
25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards new fiscal rules in Europe After years of dormant peripheral risk, the recent resurgence of fragmentation issues in Europe, amid rising stagflationary risks at a time of Central...
22/07/2022 Economy & Markets ECB meeting: larger-than-expected rate hike, with new fragm... July meeting: The ECB hiked its three key interest rates by 50bp for the first time in more than a decade, bringing its rates out of negative territory.
11/07/2022 Fixed Income & FX Renminbi’s rise will not challenge dollar dominance A sharp economic slowdown seems to be looming in both Europe and the US, which would make bond markets attractive again, especially in the US. Conversely,...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
1/07/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - July 2022 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
1/07/2022 Global Outlook H2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ jou... The H2 economic outlook will feature divergences in growth, inflation and policy mix across regions. Stagflation risk will be a common feature across...
17/06/2022 Economy & Markets 14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflatio... Understanding the outcome of the June FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
9/06/2022 Economy & Markets The embarrassing legacy of financial capitalism: implication... Understanding how the legacies of the 'old economy' paved the way for a new macro-financial regime today, and implications for investors.
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Only innovation in fiscal and monetary rules will make the E... As crises unfold, structural and governance issues tend to become more and more important.
3/06/2022 Fixed Income & FX JPY: Structurally weak, cyclically blessed Structural headwinds are strong for the yen, setting a fundamental background for the currency to stay weak.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets The myth of the fiscal free lunch: beware of the trap. An in... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
1/06/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - June 2022 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
9/05/2022 Economy & Markets 3-4 May FOMC meeting: 50bp interest rate hike is bullish for... Understanding the outcome of the May FOMC meeting and its market and implications