22/07/2022 Economy & Markets ECB meeting: larger-than-expected rate hike, with new fragm... July meeting: The ECB hiked its three key interest rates by 50bp for the first time in more than a decade, bringing its rates out of negative territory.
22/07/2022 Economy & Markets Italy swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns Italian government crisis, likely outcome: snap elections the most likely outcome. Prime Minister Draghi would remain at the helm of a caretaker government,...
11/07/2022 Fixed Income & FX Renminbi’s rise will not challenge dollar dominance A sharp economic slowdown seems to be looming in both Europe and the US, which would make bond markets attractive again, especially in the US. Conversely,...
5/07/2022 Insurance Insurers' buy and maintain portfolios and sustainable invest... This article aims to explore how the inclusion of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria became a critical part of the management of Buy...
1/07/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - July 2022 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
1/07/2022 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques The most common models to assess asset returns are a linear combination of risk factors.
29/06/2022 Economy & Markets Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income v... The energy crisis in Europe, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks worldwide, and accelerated monetary tightening are the major headwinds for the Eurozone...
28/06/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed ... The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in...
21/06/2022 Economy & Markets French elections results open a phase of political gridlock The fragmentation of votes into irreconcilable political blocs with no absolute majority creates a political situation unprecedented under the Fifth Republic.
20/06/2022 Investment Insights ESG journey is set to accelerate in credit markets Last year global sustainable debt issuance hit a record of over $1.4tn, with the overall sustainable debt universe expanding to near $3.4tn.
16/06/2022 Economy & Markets A (stag?)flationary tantrum: assessing the current market se... We are entering a tough phase of the regime shift, as the risks over economic growth add to the already hot inflationary backdrop. This means that stagflation...
3/06/2022 Fixed Income & FX JPY: Structurally weak, cyclically blessed Structural headwinds are strong for the yen, setting a fundamental background for the currency to stay weak.
1/06/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - June 2022 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
28/04/2022 Investment Views Global Investment Views - May 2022 We are witnessing significant divergences in the economic outlook (we have revised down the EU and Chinese economic outlooks vs. the more resilient US...
15/04/2022 Economy & Markets ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone, despite inflation remain... We expect QE to end in Q3, as announced, followed by rate normalisation, which is likely to lift rates out of negative territory over the next few months,...