15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Dovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth... Markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting, but investors should be cautious as risks to weaker US growth persist.
24/07/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2023 UK monetary policy to avert risk of a wage-price spiral
24/07/2023 Economy & Markets Where will the pieces fall? Takeaways from 2023 AWIF The 2023 Amundi World Investment Forum (AWIF) focused on the transformative time we are living in and the key consequences for investors.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
9/05/2023 Economy & Markets Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves t... The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector The Talks elaborates on why the recent crisis in the banking sector is not a systemic one, and that there are select opportunities among banks.
14/03/2023 Economy & Markets No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas o... Assessment of the SVB failure and its effects on the banking sector, the financial system and possible impact on central banks policy.
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a rec... The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result...