10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2023 Macroeconomics forecasts
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023 Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since...
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 202... Macroeconomic forecasts
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - September 2023 End in sight: Bank of Japan to complete policy normalisation
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support f... Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
21/03/2023 Economy & Markets A global assessment of the implications of recent banking se... Assessment of the recent developments related to the banks turmoil and their impact on the economic outlook, central banks, credit, equity banking sectors,...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
3/02/2023 Economy & Markets ECB-inspired rally risks going too far Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
2/12/2022 Economy & Markets Defensive asset allocation extends into 2023, with a gradual... The economic backdrop foreseen for the next 12 months suggests that the ongoing correction will continue through the first half of 2023, featuring a profits...
2/12/2022 Economy & Markets When fiscal policy puts the European institutions under pres... After several months of informal negotiations, the European Commission proposed on 9 November a reform of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) to be debated....
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.