5/03/2024 Economy & Markets Can the US sustain a rising debt burden? Dive deep into the intricacies of the burgeoning US debt crisis and its profound implications for the finance sector. Explore nuanced fiscal adjustment...
17/10/2023 Economy & Markets Central banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm Dive into the effects of central bank balance sheet normalization on financial markets, government bond yields, and the evolving investment landscape....
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
26/08/2022 Economy & Markets Only a new policy regime can stop rampant inflation, but don... The only way to tackle the new inflationary regime is a credible and abrupt change in the approach to policy: but this seems unlikely to happen.
25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards a new set of fiscal rules in Europe: an investor vie... In the current high-inflation regime, the use of fiscal space must: (1) be rule-based; and (2) preserve the possibility of a cooperative game between...
25/07/2022 Economy & Markets Towards new fiscal rules in Europe After years of dormant peripheral risk, the recent resurgence of fragmentation issues in Europe, amid rising stagflationary risks at a time of Central...
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
18/01/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #13 - Money and psychology of inflation:... Understanding the linkage between money velocity, psychology of inflation in the regime shift, and consequence for investors.
16/09/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime ... Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year...