25/03/2026 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Out of the Black Box: Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs via Conditional Probabilities Autoregressive LLMs generate text by sampling from estimated probability distributions over the next token, conditiona lon preceding context.
31/03/2025 Capital Market Assumptions Capital Market Assumptions 2025 Our annual Capital Market Assumptions explore the impacts of global game-changers on the long-term expected returns for more than 40 asset classes.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets Empowering transformation in Europe Europe aims to boost productivity through policy reforms and investments to restore competitiveness.
31/03/2025 Equity Equity sectors: a mix of Growth and Value to navigate the ch... Return expectations for Financials, Healthcare, and Industrials should benefit from AI, climate transition, and deregulation shaping sector dynamics.
31/03/2025 Capital Market Assumptions The global economy's path in a fragmented world A fragmented Net Zero path, demographic shifts and AI adoption will reshape global growth, impacting productivity and inflation paths through to 2050.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets Demographics will shape future growth potential Shifts like lower fertility and immigration rates will challenge potential growth and tilt population dynamics towards Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.
24/03/2025 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Topic Modeling with AI Tools We present a robust topic modeling framework that mitigates overfitting while capturing the evolving nature of discourse.