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slider thematic EURO

12.01.2021 - Monthly Cross Asset

Is the euro’s rise a sign of greater resilience?

The complexity and fragility of European institutions have contributed to maintaining a specific political risk premium on European assets, including the euro. But institutions were ultimately strengthened when negotiators agreed in July to launch the New Generation EU package. The euro’s recent appreciation may be an early sign of decline in this “risk premium”. Foreign investors may therefore want to rebalance their portfolios in favour of Eurozone assets, which could push the euro higher. Should the euroappreciate too fast, the ECB would not stay on the side-lines.

Didier BOROWSKI, Tristan PERRIER

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Slider

03.09.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Eurozone government bonds A supportive mix of remarkable funding progress and ECB QE still to come

Funding progress looked quite encouraging at July end for Eurozone government bonds, as roughly 80% of estimated yearly net issuance have been placed, mostly (more than 50%) in just four months, between April and July. Putting remaining supply in perspectives with ECB flows, the technical picture for EZ government bonds looks friendly to the current environment of low core yields and subsequent, persisting search for carry.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Senior Fixed Income Strategist

Slider Risk factor, Macroeconomic context and forecasts

Slider Risk factor, Macroeconomic context and forecasts

25.06.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Macroeconomic picture - July 2020

Risk factors, Macroeconomic context, Macroeconomic picture by area and Macro and Market forecasts.

Amundi Research

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Slider

18.02.2020 - Thought of the Day

European Commission Forecasts

The newly released Winter 2020 Economic Forecast by the European Commission projects the Eurozone economy to keep expanding in 2020 on a moderate and steady growth path.

Annalisa USARDI

Senior Economist

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Slider

15.01.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Europe at an economic policy crossroads

The new European leadership (at the head of the European Commission and the ECB), combined with historically low real interest rates, provides a unique opportunity to rethink priorities in order to meet the challenges at hand (economic, financial, environmental and security challenges). In economic terms, strengthening Europe and improving its competitiveness means tackling all these challenges simultaneously. At the level of economic policy, the link between monetary and fiscal policy must inevitably be rethought. But that's not enough. The expansionary policy mix must be accompanied by an improvement in the financial architecture. We identify two pillars on which the European authorities shold be able to act significantly in 2020-21: the Capital Market Union and budgetary rules. This is a prerequisite for dealing with the inevitable macrofinancial shocks that the future holds. Against this backdrop, the voices of Christine Lagarde and Ursula von Der Leyen (Presidents of the ECB and the Commission respectively) are eagerly awaited.

Didier BOROWSKI

Head of Global Views

Vignette 600x400 Eurozone

Vignette 600x400 Eurozone

14.01.2020 - Expert Talk

December PMIs confirmed the resilience of the Eurozone service sector

Industrial production remained weak in the Eurozone, as newly released data suggested a further contraction in Germany and Italy.

Gregorio VANIN

Macroeconomic Research

Vignette

Vignette

10.10.2019 - Thought of the Day

September Eurozone PMIs signal a widening contraction in manufacturing and services

September Eurozone PMIs further challenged the optimism in hard data mounting the uncertainty underlying the economy. As a matter of fact, the newly released data confirmed the softening momentum of the Eurozone manufacturing and service sectors.

Gregorio VANIN

Macroeconomic Research

Valentine AINOUZ 2

Valentine AINOUZ 2

25.07.2019 - Expert Talk

The Fed and the ECB have shifted to an easing mode. The question now is for how long can accommodative monetary policy support growth?

The ECB and the Fed have shifted towards a more dovish stance because of concerns about global growth, the persistence of significant risks and the continued weakness of inflation

Valentine AINOUZ

Deputy Head of Developed Market Strategy Research

Fixed Income - EU

Fixed Income - EU

15.07.2019 - Investment Talks

Revisiting fixed income opportunities after the European institution appointments

The appointment of Christine Lagarde as President of the ECB and Ursula Von der Leyen as President of the European Commission are undoubtedly among the best possible compromises, because these are two women of great experience, both very much in favour of strengthening the European Union.

Didier BOROWSKI, Isabelle VIC-PHILIPPE, Grégoire PESQUES

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