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12.01.2021 - Monthly Cross Asset

Is the euro’s rise a sign of greater resilience?

The complexity and fragility of European institutions have contributed to maintaining a specific political risk premium on European assets, including the euro. But institutions were ultimately strengthened when negotiators agreed in July to launch the New Generation EU package. The euro’s recent appreciation may be an early sign of decline in this “risk premium”. Foreign investors may therefore want to rebalance their portfolios in favour of Eurozone assets, which could push the euro higher. Should the euroappreciate too fast, the ECB would not stay on the side-lines.

Didier BOROWSKI, Tristan PERRIER

2019.05.02-DP38-Who-will-lead-the-World-economy

2019.05.02-DP38-Who-will-lead-the-World-economy

02.05.2019 - Discussion Paper

Who will lead the World Economy?

When we talk about leadership, we also talk about rivalry… and 2018 was undoubtedly a particularly emblematic year of rivalry, especially between the United States and China, and to some extent, between the United States and Europe.

Philippe ITHURBIDE

Senior Economic Advisor

Bastien Drut

Bastien Drut

26.01.2018 - Expert Talk

Strong Euro or weak dollar?

"The least we can say is that the movements on the foreign exchange markets have been a topic of discussion in recent days."

Bastien DRUT

Senior Strategist at CPR AM

Vignette

Vignette

18.01.2018 - Thought of the Day

Markets have never been so long on the euro

The EUR/USD parity has briefly hit 1.23 on Wednesday, for the first time since December 2014.

Bastien DRUT

Senior Strategist at CPR AM

2017-12-08-vignette

2017-12-08-vignette

08.12.2017 - Thought of the Day

The share of Eurozone citizens thinking that having the euro is a good thing hits a new peak

The yearly Eurobarometer on the euro area has just been published: 64% of Eurozone citizens say that “having the euro is a good thing for their country”.

Bastien DRUT

Senior Strategist at CPR AM

2017-11-03-vignette

2017-11-03-vignette

03.11.2017 - Thought of the Day

The EUR/USD parity unusually more sensitive to the long-term rate spread than to the short-term rate spread

Whereas the EUR/USD parity has historically been more sensitive to the 2y.

Bastien DRUT

Senior Strategist at CPR AM

Expert talk - eye euro

Expert talk - eye euro

08.09.2017 - Expert Talk

The ECB intends to announce in October a reduction of its asset purchases but will keep an eye on the euro

During the press conference, Mario Draghi acknowledged that the economic recovery in the Eurozone has been stronger-than-expected.

Bastien DRUT, Valentine AINOUZ

2017-09-Cross asset - Euro

2017-09-Cross asset - Euro

07.09.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

This month's topic: The euro’s appreciation: causes, outlook and consequences

The euro remains undervalued according to the majority of valuation models and is boosted by a domestic economy that has strengthened considerably since the beginning of the year.

Didier BOROWSKI, Bastien DRUT, Ibra WANE

Bastien Drut

Bastien Drut

25.08.2017 - Expert Talk

Why the euro has appreciated – and why it will keep appreciating

The euro, taken in effective terms, remained quite stable throughout 2016 and early 2017. Only in April did an appreciating trend emerge.

Bastien DRUT

Senior Strategist at CPR AM

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