12/04/2022 Economy & Markets French election: markets complacent for Macron victory, but ... Update on the first round of the 2022 French Presidential elections
7/04/2022 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Monitoring Narratives: an Application to the Equity Market In this research, we show that variables from the Global Database of Events, Language and Tone (GDELT) convey significant informational content that can...
6/04/2022 Portfolio Allocation Multi-Period Portfolio Optimization and Application to Portf... This research project is both an update of the analysis on carbon emissions trajectories proposed by Le Guenedal et al. (2020) and a companion study of...
6/04/2022 Geopolitics Shifts & Narratives #16 - Investing in a fragmented world In this piece we address the impact of de-globalization on investors, and in particular the road back to the benefits of international diversification.
5/04/2022 Geopolitics US economy and markets look resilient regarding the Russia-U... Update on Ukranian crisis focusing on US economy and investment implications
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic Picture - April 2022 United States: the increase in energy and commodity prices, which is pushing inflation higher, is negatively impacting the US consumer, both in terms...
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Market Scenarios and Risks - April 2022 We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month. The war in Ukraine could evolve in...
5/04/2022 Geopolitics Ukraine: where do we stand? By calling the war in Ukraine a «tectonic shift in European history», European leaders are giving an indication of the regime changes this war could lead...
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Macron’s 2017-2022 economic policies: predominantly supply-... The first half of Emmanuel Macron’s term (from H2 2017 to the Covid outbreak, in Q1 2020) featured a significant number of “structural” or “supply-side”...
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets French elections: let the race begin The French 2022 election cycle is starting in the context of the war in Ukraine which favours to the incumbent president.