5/03/2024 Economy & Markets Can the US sustain a rising debt burden? Dive deep into the intricacies of the burgeoning US debt crisis and its profound implications for the finance sector. Explore nuanced fiscal adjustment...
28/07/2023 Economy & Markets Fed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
24/07/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - July/August 2023 UK monetary policy to avert risk of a wage-price spiral
24/07/2023 Economy & Markets Where will the pieces fall? Takeaways from 2023 AWIF The 2023 Amundi World Investment Forum (AWIF) focused on the transformative time we are living in and the key consequences for investors.
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a rec... The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result...
17/01/2020 Economy & Markets Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets i... 2019 proved a strong year for US assets, with US equity markets recording the strongest annual total return since 2013 and the US aggregate bond index...
11/06/2019 Economy & Markets The Road Back to the 70s Implications for Investors History shows that the economy and financial markets are dominated by long-term regimes that at some point come to a break point, where one regime gives...