15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Higher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024 Navigate the evolving business landscape with insights on the anticipated intensification of rate increases in 2024. Discover how businesses have leveraged...
15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023 Macroeconomic and Financial Market forecasts
15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023 Explore our monthly publication for insights on global economic trends. Anticipate a shift from 3.1% growth in 2023 to a 2.4% pace in 2024, diverging...
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2023 Macroeconomics forecasts
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023 Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since...
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
3/02/2023 Economy & Markets ECB-inspired rally risks going too far Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
2/12/2022 Economy & Markets Defensive asset allocation extends into 2023, with a gradual... The economic backdrop foreseen for the next 12 months suggests that the ongoing correction will continue through the first half of 2023, featuring a profits...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets False sense of security from easing energy prices Natural gas prices have plunged since their summer peak, supported by ample stocks and by the EU emergency measures.
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Rational inattention at the core of central bank strategy The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.