22/06/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year ... The June Cross Asset issue is a special mid-year outlook edition, featuring our key views as we enter the second half of the year.
26/05/2023 Economy & Markets Seven questions for investors on the US debt ceiling The Talks elaborates on the uncertainty around the US Debt Ceiling negotations and how it could evolve.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Trump indictment: implications for US politics and assets To understand the impact of the recent Trump indictment on US politics and beyond.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
23/03/2023 Economy & Markets Fed delivers a dovish hike: a rate cycle peak may be close Inflation remains the Fed's main concern. We remain cautious and anticipate market volatility, given the central bank continues to be data dependent.
14/03/2023 Economy & Markets No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas o... Assessment of the SVB failure and its effects on the banking sector, the financial system and possible impact on central banks policy.
6/03/2023 Equity European equities are favoured in a fragile earnings outlook Q4 2022 was the first quarter of YoY profit declines for the United States, while Europe has held up better. In the United States, Big Tech-related sectors...
7/02/2023 Economy & Markets Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC revi... Review of the February FOMC meeting and its market implications.
16/12/2022 Economy & Markets Fed: Staying the course until the job is done Understanding the outcome of the December FOMC meeting and its market implications.
10/11/2022 Economy & Markets US mid-term election: no red tide Understanding the outcome of the 2022 US mid-term election and its policy, economic, and financial fallout