10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
2/12/2022 Economy & Markets Defensive asset allocation extends into 2023, with a gradual... The economic backdrop foreseen for the next 12 months suggests that the ongoing correction will continue through the first half of 2023, featuring a profits...
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Q2 earnings season – strong results helped support the summe... The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August.
5/05/2022 Economy & Markets Q2 2022: A late cycle with a greater focus on inflation The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets Keeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022 2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase...
5/01/2022 Economy & Markets Central banks: a successful hawkish turn The three major central banks issued restrictive signals last week. The banks have succeeded in changing the course of their monetary policies without...