19/11/2025 Fixed Income & FX Fixed income in the new policy order As US fiscal expansion tests Fed independence, tilt to investment grade credit and European peripheral debt.
22/06/2023 Global Outlook Mid-year outlook 2023: global themes Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and...
26/05/2023 Economy & Markets Seven questions for investors on the US debt ceiling The Talks elaborates on the uncertainty around the US Debt Ceiling negotations and how it could evolve.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...