22/06/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year ... The June Cross Asset issue is a special mid-year outlook edition, featuring our key views as we enter the second half of the year.
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
26/05/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - June 2023 Bonds (and cash) are back on the radar screen. Read more of our monthly investment views.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a rec... The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result...
7/05/2021 Capital Market Assumptions Asset Class Returns Forecasts - Q2 - 2021 With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
17/01/2020 Economy & Markets Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets i... 2019 proved a strong year for US assets, with US equity markets recording the strongest annual total return since 2013 and the US aggregate bond index...
11/06/2019 Economy & Markets The Road Back to the 70s Implications for Investors History shows that the economy and financial markets are dominated by long-term regimes that at some point come to a break point, where one regime gives...