10/02/2023 Economy & Markets Italy: where prudence meets potential As the largest beneficiary of the Next Generation EU post-pandemic reconstruction plan, Italy has a unique opportunity to modernise its economy through...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
28/09/2022 Fixed Income & FX UK market turmoil points towards further volatility in globa... Understand recent market reaction to the UK budget proposal that had significant market impact on the Sterling and look into what are the implications...
27/09/2022 Economy & Markets Italy election: no major surprise from the polls, maybe pos... Election outcome and political scenario: The centre-right coalition won Italy’s general election on 25 September, with approximately 44% of votes.
23/09/2022 Economy & Markets 20-21 September FOMC meeting: the move into restrictive terr... Understanding the outcome of the July FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
29/07/2022 Economy & Markets July 26-27 FOMC Review: Maintaining a Hawkish Course Understanding the outcome of the July FOMC meeting and its market and implications.
29/07/2022 Economy & Markets Gas rationing impact on European economy The partial shutoff of gas deliveries is already affecting European growth momentum. Discover what could be the economic impact of a total cutoff and...
22/07/2022 Economy & Markets Italy swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns Italian government crisis, likely outcome: snap elections the most likely outcome. Prime Minister Draghi would remain at the helm of a caretaker government,...
29/06/2022 Economy & Markets Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income v... The energy crisis in Europe, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks worldwide, and accelerated monetary tightening are the major headwinds for the Eurozone...
28/06/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed ... The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in...
5/05/2022 Economy & Markets Q2 2022: A late cycle with a greater focus on inflation The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets Keeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022 2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase...
17/01/2020 Economy & Markets Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets i... 2019 proved a strong year for US assets, with US equity markets recording the strongest annual total return since 2013 and the US aggregate bond index...
27/02/2019 Capital Market Assumptions Asset Classes Views: Medium and long term expected returns Our approach to expected returns estimates is model driven. We break down asset class dynamics into a long term component (or trend/fair value), mainly...
14/11/2018 Economy & Markets What lies ahead for the US economy and markets? The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world.