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RC-2022.05-This-Month-Topic-slider
Monthly Cross Asset 5.05.2022 Q2 2022: A late cycle with a greater focus on inflation

The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still decelerating at a global level but with tentative signs of stabilisation.

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Monthly Cross Asset 3.02.2022 Keeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022

2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase and face the challenge of retuning to normality...

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Research Center - Q3 2021: From a recovery phase to an inflationary late cycle
Monthly Cross Asset 2.11.2021 Q3 2021: From a recovery phase to an inflationary late cycle

A second derivative stagflationary environment of decelerating growth amid sustained inflationary pressures. The fiscal lever continues to play a pivotal role.

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Monthly Cross Asset 8.09.2021 Special Europe: investing in the recovery

As the European economy is recovering from the largest economic shock of modern history, we are revising our growth and inflation assumptions to the upside.

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Monthly Cross Asset 5.05.2021 2021 Recovery to continue and beat potential

Goldilocks continues to allow a tempered risk on positioning. Longer term, growth will likely revert to potential amid a normalised inflation rate (at least in the US).

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Monthly Cross Asset 27.05.2020 Thematics Views - June 2020
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As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control.

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Investment Talks 20.05.2020 Focus on Italy: macroeconomic and fixed income scenario
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The global background and Italy: if we wanted to characterise the contraction and recovery pattern, we would probably describe it as a ‘long U-shaped’ recovery; in other words, as a gradual normalisation which will take some time before seeing a return to pre-crisis levels.

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Monthly Cross Asset 30.04.2020 Contraction > recovery > late cycle: a cycle round trip in three years
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The pandemic outbreak altered the cycle of financial regimes we had in mind at the end of 2019, with consequences extending over the medium term: after a sharp contraction in 2020, 2021 will see a “recovery” in the growth and profit cycle with a rebound in risky assets while in 2022, we expect a normalization towards a late cycle.

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Monthly Cross Asset 9.03.2020 Thematics Views - March 2020
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From unemployment and inflation to climate change and social inequality, central banks (CB) are on the frontlines. In the context of the ECB’s and the Federal Reserve’s strategic reviews there are now open debates about their new tools, targets and mandates.

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