Elections

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Monthly Cross Asset 5.01.2022 LatAm's political pendulum takes a hard swing to the left in 2021

2021 Covid surging in 1H and inflation swelling in 2H have contributed to the political pendulum swinging hard left in LatAm. More structurally, the commodity super cycle unwind mid last decade and the political discontent likely set the entire shift in motion. Against the general trend, some elections cycles moved in the other direction as well.

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Monthly Cross Asset 5.01.2022 You asked, we answer - January 2022

Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.

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Investment Talks 22.09.2021 German election remains open, with an eye on the green transition

Election outcome: The most likely winner in terms of votes and seats will either be the Social Democratic Party (SPD) or the conservative Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU). Likely scenarios include the ‘traffic-light’ coalition (SPD-Greens-pro-market Liberal Democratic Party, FDP) or the ‘Jamaica’ coalition (CDU/CSU-Greens-FDP). However, other combinations are possible.

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Investment Talks 23.06.2020 Biden's election momentum and financial markets
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Joe Biden has a historically large lead over President Donald Trump in the polls, including in the critical electoral college vote, but that could narrow closer to the election.

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Investment Talks 10.03.2020 The Democratic race to nomination and implications for markets
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The race to Democratic nomination has boiled down to two candidates now, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders with Biden being the new front runner based on delegate count, market expectations and national polls.

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Investment Talks 6.03.2020 US election - Super Tuesday: seeking the democratic candidate
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US election - Super Tuesday: seeking the democratic candidate

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Investment Talks 2.03.2020 Super Tuesday: why it is important and what to expect for US assets
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On 3 March, 14 US states will hold primaries for the Democratic presidential nomination.

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Insights Paper 17.01.2020 Economic resilience, Fed and elections to drive US markets in 2020
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2019 proved a strong year for US assets, with US equity markets recording the strongest annual total return since 2013 and the US aggregate bond index up almost 9.0%. In addition, the past decade proved the best ever for the S&P 500 index, which returned 256% overall, well above its historical average.

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Investment Talks 11.12.2019 UK election could pave the way for an orderly Brexit and a rebound in equities
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The possibility of seeing a smoother, faster Brexit will depend on the outcome of the UK election on Thursday, 12 December.

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