4/05/2026 Policy on pause The energy shock is large enough to change the policy backdrop, but it is not yet clear enough to justify an immediate response in the form of a rate...
24/02/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - March 2023 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
19/12/2022 Economy & Markets Hawkish surprise from the ECB Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
28/10/2022 Economy & Markets A dovish pivot from the ECB: Euro bonds back in focus The ECB has turned more dovish suggesting a less aggressive rate hike path ahead.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets TLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters.
27/09/2022 Economy & Markets Italy election: no major surprise from the polls, maybe pos... Election outcome and political scenario: The centre-right coalition won Italy’s general election on 25 September, with approximately 44% of votes.