29/06/2022 Economy & Markets Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income view The energy crisis in Europe, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks worldwide, and accelerated monetary tightening are the major headwinds for the Eurozone...
28/06/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed income implications The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in...
21/06/2022 Economy & Markets French elections results open a phase of political gridlock The fragmentation of votes into irreconcilable political blocs with no absolute majority creates a political situation unprecedented under the Fifth Republic.
16/06/2022 Economy & Markets A (stag?)flationary tantrum: assessing the current market sell-off We are entering a tough phase of the regime shift, as the risks over economic growth add to the already hot inflationary backdrop. This means that stagflation...
15/04/2022 Economy & Markets ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone, despite inflation remaining top priority We expect QE to end in Q3, as announced, followed by rate normalisation, which is likely to lift rates out of negative territory over the next few months,...
25/03/2022 Geopolitics A more fragmented Emerging Markets world amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis The economic impact stemming from the crisis will be uneven across countries, with some economies potentially benefitting from the commodity boost and...
1/02/2022 Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine tensions: geopolitical risk adds volatility to risk assets Understanding recent tensions between Russia and Ukraine, as well as the implications on the economy and potential geopolitical and investment consequences.
13/01/2022 Geopolitics Kazakhstan: low impact for asset prices, but a wakeup call for geopolitical risk Understanding recent turmoil in Kazakhstan and its evolution, as well as the implications on its economy and potential geopolitical consequences in the...