3/02/2023 Economy & Markets ECB-inspired rally risks going too far Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
2/12/2022 Economy & Markets Defensive asset allocation extends into 2023, with a gradual... The economic backdrop foreseen for the next 12 months suggests that the ongoing correction will continue through the first half of 2023, featuring a profits...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets False sense of security from easing energy prices Natural gas prices have plunged since their summer peak, supported by ample stocks and by the EU emergency measures.
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Rational inattention at the core of central bank strategy The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
5/05/2022 Economy & Markets Q2 2022: A late cycle with a greater focus on inflation The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still...
21/04/2022 Economy & Markets The energy crisis heightens inflation fears - Strategies to ... The presentation provides insights into how the current war/energy crisis is exacerbating the already high inflation. The material also details what strategies...
5/04/2022 Geopolitics US economy and markets look resilient regarding the Russia-U... Update on Ukranian crisis focusing on US economy and investment implications
5/04/2022 Economy & Markets Will the Fed manage to restore price stability without a rec... The Fed is determined to hike rates rapidly. In the short-term the US economy will be supported by the many cushions present in the economy, as a result...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets The journey back to zero real rates Real interest rates in the US and Europe have reached negative levels that are unprecedented in recent history.