2/12/2022 Economy & Markets When fiscal policy puts the European institutions under pres... After several months of informal negotiations, the European Commission proposed on 9 November a reform of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) to be debated....
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets TLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters.
12/09/2022 Economy & Markets Rational inattention at the core of central bank strategy The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Only innovation in fiscal and monetary rules will make the E... As crises unfold, structural and governance issues tend to become more and more important.
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their...
3/02/2022 Economy & Markets The journey back to zero real rates Real interest rates in the US and Europe have reached negative levels that are unprecedented in recent history.