
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 2022
Take just 5 minutes to complete this quick survey
SurveyValuations are now a little more attractive. However, the environment remains challenging, particularly in Europe.
More < 5 minutesOn 19 November, the House of Representatives (HoR) passed the Build Back Better Act (BBB). The bill will now be considered by the Senate. This is a big step forward for the Biden administration, especially since this vote comes just after President Biden signed the infrastructure plan into law.
More < 5 minutesA second derivative stagflationary environment of decelerating growth amid sustained inflationary pressures. The fiscal lever continues to play a pivotal role.
More 5 to 10 minutesNowadays, US value trades at its steepest discount to growth since 1999. However, declining Covid-19 cases, a broad-based economic recovery, prospects of higher interest rates as we progress out of the pandemic, and the return of persistent inflation pressures should help close the valuation gap between growth and value stocks.
More 5 to 10 minutesWhat matters to fixed income investors is the macro-financial environment that will prevail after the strong rebound in growth and inflation expected in H2.
More > 10 minutesSince Joe Biden’s elections, most observers have been surprised by how Democrats managed to pass significant fiscal policies despite their thin majority.
More 5 to 10 minutesProfound changes in the international arena are underway. Together the EU, China and the United States are the three largest economies in the world. Whereas, previously, economic and geopolitical issues were treated separately, it is increasingly clear that the United States and China are using their economic power for geopolitical purposes. Such geopolitical leadership has economic implications.
More > 10 minutesGoldilocks continues to allow a tempered risk on positioning. Longer term, growth will likely revert to potential amid a normalised inflation rate (at least in the US).
More 5 to 10 minutesWe believe now may be the best time in recent history to invest with an active approach in US equities. Passive indices outperformed active managers in recent years as US equity markets became more concentrated and dispersion declined: concentration in the five largest stocks in the S&P 500 had been increasing since 2013 and it peaked at 24% in 2020, when Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Microsoft benefited from a stay-athome environment in which people increasingly used technology to communicate, shop and work.
More > 10 minutesProfessional investors are Professional investors of the European Union, as defined as in European Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments(MIFID) to investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry,and as the case may be in each local regulation, and, as far as the offering in Switzerland is concerned, a Qualified Investor within the meaning of the provisions of the Swiss CollectiveInvestment Schemes Act of 23 June 2006 (CISA), the Swiss Collective Investment SchemesOrdinance of 22 November 2006 (CISO) and the FINMA’s Circular 08/8 on Public Advertising under the Collective Investment Schemes legislation of 20 November 2008
European Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (MIFID)
Private customers or retail investors, or to investors who do not comply with the definition of qualified investors as defined in the applicable legislation and regulation
as defined in the US Securities Act of 1933
You may print a copy of any page for personal or non-commercial purposes provided that you do not remove any copyright notices or any Amundi trademarks or logos, or change any content. Except for a purpose or a use permitted by statute, or with the prior written consent of Amundi you must not copy, modify, sell, distribute, adapt, publish, frame, reproduce,translate, distribute to any third person or entity in any country or jurisdiction which would subject Amundi or any of its products, to any registration requirements within these jurisdictions or where it might be considered as unlawful or otherwise use any of the information contained in this website or any material or Amundi trademarks or logos on the website.