Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.

The 2023 Amundi World Investment Forum (AWIF) focused on the transformative time we are living in and the key consequences for investors.

Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...

Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.

Q4 2022 was the first quarter of YoY profit declines for the United States, while Europe has held up better. In the United States, Big Tech-related sectors...

High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...

In one month, China dropped most of its Covid-related restrictions, vowed to support the housing market more, and set pro-growth policies.

The economic backdrop foreseen for the next 12 months suggests that the ongoing correction will continue through the first half of 2023, featuring a profits...

China’s cyclical recovery outlook hinges critically on developments in Covid-19 policy. Housing will become less of a drag as the sector manages an L-shaped...

The first electoral round was won by former President Lula. However, the incumbent, Bolsonaro, performed better than expected.

The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August.

While not envisaging any systemic risk propagating across emerging markets, the macro financial outlook remains challenging amid growth concerns, still-high...

The excellent results of the first quarter also conceal weaknesses.

The shift to an inflationary late cycle has been confirmed with greater conviction and a focus on higher inflation (and rates). Economic momentum is still...

By calling the war in Ukraine a «tectonic shift in European history», European leaders are giving an indication of the regime changes this war could lead...