Pension Funds letter
1.12.2022

Amundi Pension Funds Letter n°16

Published 

1 December, 2022

> 10 minutes
1.12.2022
Amundi Pension Funds Letter n°16
Published 

1 December, 2022

> 10 minutes

Editorial


Contemplating the unknowns, responding to the unknowable

December, the month where festive end-of-year preparations and celebrations shift into top gear, just as commentators become busy reflecting on the past year and making predictions for the next. In the finance sector, our inboxes overflow with analysis of likely economic and market developments in 2023. But even the best forecasting powers are not a crystal ball. What lies ahead this year is not one single challenge, but rather a series of global challenges that are both interconnected and overlapping, defined above all by uncertainty and overshadowed by the unknown and the unknowable.

2022 saw the 40-year period of low inflation and low interest rates come to an abrupt, if not unforeseen end1. Both Covid-19 and the Russia/Ukraine war accelerated long-brewing shifts in macroeconomics and geopolitics, illuminating in parallel the multitude of structural weaknesses in global systems.

The 2022 Amundi-CREATE pension survey explores how pension funds perceive these shifts and their potential repercussions. It also looks at the likely impacts of higher inflation and increased asset class correlation on asset allocation and how current market uncertainty may prove positive for active management as selectivity will prove key.

For pension funds, the key question going forward will come down to how to adapt their portfolios to face structurally higher inflation and volatility, less accommodative monetary policy and increased geopolitical turmoil.

2022 has demonstrated how investors can never be too prepared for the unexpected. We look at how the turbulence in the UK gilts markets in September sent ripples through the pensions markets and put into question the whole notion of safe haven and liquid assets.

Liquidity and correlation are just two of the aspects pension funds should take into account when constructing their portfolio. Our article on asset segmentation analyses some of the arguments for and against segmentation and the possible approaches.

Finally, we take our regular look at how the pension funding ratios have reacted to recent volatility and poor performance for both equities and bonds.

June 2019 – Pascal Blanqué - https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/speech/2022/november/sarah-breeden-speech-at-isda-aima

 

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Reorienting pensions portfolios in an inflation-fuelled world
  • Amundi-CREATE 2022 Survey Highlights
  • Ripples for pension funds around the world from the UK LDI crisis
  • How do institutions segment their investment universe?
  • Pension funding ratio: winnning on the liability side
  • Investment outlook 2023
  • Cross asset investment strategy
  • To go further: Amundi Research Center

To find out more, download the full letter 

Discover our Pension Funds dedicated solutions


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Furthermore, nothing in this website is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this website should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. There is no guarantee that any targeted performance or forecast will be achieved.


This website is solely for informational purposes.
 
This website does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security or any other product or service. Any securities, products, or services referenced may not be registered for sale with the relevant authority in your jurisdiction and may not be regulated or supervised by any governmental or similar authority in your jurisdiction.
 
Furthermore, nothing in this website is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this website should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. There is no guarantee that any targeted performance or forecast will be achieved.

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