31/03/2025 Economy & Markets The direction of long term rates in an era of high debt High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.
2/06/2022 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #19 - The fiscal illusion: no free lunch... Understanding why the idea of the fiscal 'free lunch' is an illusion while global debt remains at record highs, and moving into a more fragmented world.
26/04/2021 Economy & Markets Shifts & Narratives #2 - Inflation: something deep awakens One year ago, as the Covid-19 crisis had just begun, we wrote about its potential inflation implications from both a cyclical and a structural standpoint....