25/03/2026 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Out of the Black Box: Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs via Conditional Probabilities Autoregressive LLMs generate text by sampling from estimated probability distributions over the next token, conditiona lon preceding context.
25/03/2026 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Modeling and Forecasting of Large Unbalanced Option Implied ... Forecasting the option implied volatility (IV) surface is difficult with standard time series models because ofits time-varying granularity.
19/03/2026 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence Integrating Geopolitical Risk Into Low Volatility Factor Con... Financial markets respond not only to quantitative fundamentals but also to narratives that shape investor perceptions of risk, particularly during periods...
10/10/2025 Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence AI In Investment Management: The Advancement Of Learning Explore how AI and NLP are reshaping financial analysis, raising new questions, and strengthening investment strategies.
19/05/2025 Economy & Markets China in the race for technological leadership In this paper we explore the evolution of China's technological progress and its likely path ahead.
17/03/2025 Economy & Markets The diverse economic impacts of artificial intelligence In this paper we extend our 2024 analysis by focusing on differentiating macroeconomic productivity gains enabled by AI across countries.
12/06/2024 Sustainable Finance About SDGs, reading the manual with NLP This paper aims to examine the SDGs' framework and question its implementation by companies.