Summary
Already-high inflation to be exacerbated by high commodity prices due to the Russia-Ukraine war
Source: Amundi Institute, Bloomberg. Data as of 13 April 2022
Inflation was already running well above central banks’ targets as we entered the year. The war has put additional pressure on prices and supply chains and this could have repercussions not just on oil, but on other commodities as well. Furthermore, given these (intermediate) commodities are used in the production of other finished products, we are likely to witness more broad-based inflation, particularly in Europe, the region closest to the crisis.
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