10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
9/05/2023 Economy & Markets Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves t... The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
7/04/2023 Economy & Markets Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector The Talks elaborates on why the recent crisis in the banking sector is not a systemic one, and that there are select opportunities among banks.
23/03/2023 Economy & Markets Fed delivers a dovish hike: a rate cycle peak may be close Inflation remains the Fed's main concern. We remain cautious and anticipate market volatility, given the central bank continues to be data dependent.
14/03/2023 Economy & Markets No systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas o... Assessment of the SVB failure and its effects on the banking sector, the financial system and possible impact on central banks policy.
24/02/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - March 2023 The GIV document elaborates on the latest views, convictions and outlook of our Global CIOs, different Investment Platforms and Macro-Strategy teams.
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/02/2023 Economy & Markets Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC revi... Review of the February FOMC meeting and its market implications.
16/12/2022 Economy & Markets Fed: Staying the course until the job is done Understanding the outcome of the December FOMC meeting and its market implications.
10/11/2022 Economy & Markets US mid-term election: no red tide Understanding the outcome of the 2022 US mid-term election and its policy, economic, and financial fallout
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
4/11/2022 Economy & Markets 1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot Understanding the outcome of the November FOMC meeting and its market implications
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.