14/04/2025 Economy & Markets Emerging Markets beyond the 90-day tariff pause Despite a 90-day tariff pause, the US-China trade war escalates, hitting Asia hardest. Latin America is less affected. Inflation outlooks are uncertain,...
14/04/2025 Economy & Markets The uncertain reality of tariffs and the future of gold Trump's tariffs seek to address trade imbalances and revitalize manufacturing, but their impact is uncertain. Gold stands out as a stable investment amid...
11/04/2025 Economy & Markets Navigating trade war turbulence Trade wars are disrupting the global economy, potentially causing profit recessions from rising costs and lower demand. Investors should focus on European...
3/04/2025 Economy & Markets Liberation Day tariffs: an initial assessment In this Investment Talks we explore the main take-aways for investors from the April 2nd tariff announcement by Trump.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets The direction of long term rates in an era of high debt High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.
11/03/2025 Economy & Markets Tariffs and European news fuel volatility In this Investment Talks, we explore recent moves in financial markets and possible explanations, alongside our expectations and investment implications.
6/02/2025 Economy & Markets What Trump 2.0 means for the economy and markets The article analyzes the effects of Trump's second term on the global economy and markets, focusing on tariffs, inflation, and trade relations, particularly...
20/01/2025 Economy & Markets The Fed’s dilemma This analysis reviews the January 2025 macroeconomic outlook, focusing on the Fed's inflation challenges and interest rate expectations.
18/12/2024 Economy & Markets Germany’s path ahead The article outlines the German economy's challenges, including an investment deficit and the impact of upcoming elections on fiscal reforms.
19/11/2024 Economy & Markets The extraordinary US cycle is becoming more balanced The US economy is transitioning to slower growth, with a soft landing expected amid reduced imbalances and declining inflation.
7/11/2024 Economy & Markets Trump Victory: Key implications for investors Trump will return to the White House, with a red sweep of the Senate and House likely. Financial markets reacted by extending popular "Trump trades".
23/10/2024 Economy & Markets 2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment persp... This paper examines the potential economic and foreign policy changes at stake in the 2024 US elections and implications for investors across asset classes,...
10/10/2024 Economy & Markets Draghi’s report: a call to action for Europe’s competitivene... Mario Draghi’s report on Europe’s declining competitiveness poses a significant challenge for policymakers. While it has broad support, implementation...
10/10/2024 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2024 Discover comprehensive macroeconomic and financial market forecasts for September 2024, updated as of October.
10/10/2024 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2024 While monetary policy in LatAm has been nothing short of prudent, both on the way up and down, LatAm’s post Covid and post elections fiscal consolidation...