Summary

The inflation and the real yield component deduced from inflation-linked and nominal bond prices are adversely affected by two market effects: price distortions due to certain market-related events and oil price movements. Their underlying time-correlation without those effects is stable and positive. Market data analysis carried out on the world’s major bond markets gives valuable new insight in the long-debated relationship between inflation and growth prospects.

Authors

Associated Professor in Economics at Université d’Aix-Marseille II
PhD, Head of Fixed-Income Quantitative Research