12/10/2022 Economy & Markets TLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters.
27/09/2022 Economy & Markets Italy election: no major surprise from the polls, maybe pos... Election outcome and political scenario: The centre-right coalition won Italy’s general election on 25 September, with approximately 44% of votes.
13/09/2022 Economy & Markets ECB meeting: bold rate hike; watch out for more to come Understanding the outcome of the latest ECB meeting and its fallout on the euro bond market.
13/09/2022 Economy & Markets Reassessing the view on Europe: hot questions for investors To understand how the stagflationary environment in Europe affects the region's markets.
22/07/2022 Economy & Markets ECB meeting: larger-than-expected rate hike, with new fragm... July meeting: The ECB hiked its three key interest rates by 50bp for the first time in more than a decade, bringing its rates out of negative territory.
22/07/2022 Economy & Markets Italy swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns Italian government crisis, likely outcome: snap elections the most likely outcome. Prime Minister Draghi would remain at the helm of a caretaker government,...
11/07/2022 Economy & Markets The ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strengt... The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels.
29/06/2022 Economy & Markets Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income v... The energy crisis in Europe, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks worldwide, and accelerated monetary tightening are the major headwinds for the Eurozone...
28/06/2022 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed ... The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in...
3/06/2022 Economy & Markets Only innovation in fiscal and monetary rules will make the E... As crises unfold, structural and governance issues tend to become more and more important.
6/05/2022 Economy & Markets Upward pressures on inflation are the major market driver We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their...
15/04/2022 Economy & Markets ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone, despite inflation remain... We expect QE to end in Q3, as announced, followed by rate normalisation, which is likely to lift rates out of negative territory over the next few months,...
7/05/2021 Capital Market Assumptions Asset Class Returns Forecasts - Q2 - 2021 With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
22/02/2021 Asset Pricing & Behavioural Finance Tracking ECB’s Communication: Perspectives and Implications ... This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques.
9/12/2019 Fixed Income & FX Screen the Euro fixed income market in the era of three 'low... As 2020 approaches, the uncertainty in the market has receded but there are still risks ahead involving macroeconomic, political and technical factors....