14/04/2025 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2025 Our April edition outlines seven insights for navigating trade war turbulence, concentrating on emerging markets post-tariff pause, the uncertain nature...
14/04/2025 Economy & Markets Emerging Markets beyond the 90-day tariff pause Despite a 90-day tariff pause, the US-China trade war escalates, hitting Asia hardest. Latin America is less affected. Inflation outlooks are uncertain,...
14/04/2025 Economy & Markets The uncertain reality of tariffs and the future of gold Trump's tariffs seek to address trade imbalances and revitalize manufacturing, but their impact is uncertain. Gold stands out as a stable investment amid...
11/04/2025 Economy & Markets Navigating trade war turbulence Trade wars are disrupting the global economy, potentially causing profit recessions from rising costs and lower demand. Investors should focus on European...
9/04/2025 Podcasts Outerblue Talks Research - Seat belts fastened for the globa... The market roller coaster continues. Listen to the latest podcast on the market reactions to US tariff announcements
3/04/2025 Podcasts Outerblue Convictions- Global Investment Views - Europe rall... In this month's review of the latest developments on the global economy and in financial markets, we focus on the seismic shifts that have been happening...
3/04/2025 Economy & Markets Liberation Day tariffs: an initial assessment In this Investment Talks we explore the main take-aways for investors from the April 2nd tariff announcement by Trump.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets The direction of long term rates in an era of high debt High public debt and adverse demographics suggest long-term interest rates may remain elevated, with increased volatility and global contagion risks.
31/03/2025 Capital Market Assumptions The global economy's path in a fragmented world A fragmented Net Zero path, demographic shifts and AI adoption will reshape global growth, impacting productivity and inflation paths through to 2050.
31/03/2025 Economy & Markets Demographics will shape future growth potential Shifts like lower fertility and immigration rates will challenge potential growth and tilt population dynamics towards Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.
17/03/2025 Economy & Markets The diverse economic impacts of artificial intelligence In this paper we extend our 2024 analysis by focusing on differentiating macroeconomic productivity gains enabled by AI across countries.
14/03/2025 Economy & Markets A step forward for Europe "A Step Forward for Europe" analyzes Germany's role in boosting Eurozone growth amid challenges like US tariffs and rising defense spending.
14/03/2025 Scenarios, risks and macroeconomic forecasts - March 2025 "Scenarios, Risks and Macroeconomic Forecasts - March 2025" examines critical economic scenarios and associated risks impacting market dynamics.
11/03/2025 Economy & Markets Tariffs and European news fuel volatility In this Investment Talks, we explore recent moves in financial markets and possible explanations, alongside our expectations and investment implications.
7/03/2025 Economy & Markets Locked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s N... After months of anticipation, Beijing has revealed how it plans to keep the Chinese economy steady – growing at around 5% – in a challenging and uncertain...